Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →34.0%
Andorra
31.7%
Draw
34.3%
Burgos
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Andorra
vs
0.95
Burgos
Markets
BTTS37.2%
Over 0.585.0%
Over 1.556.1%
Over 2.529.3%
Over 3.512.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.0%
0-1
14.5%
1-0
14.4%
1-1
13.4%
0-2
6.8%
2-0
6.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-1
6.4%
2-2
3.0%
0-3
2.1%
3-0
2.1%
1-3
2.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).