Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.5%
Werder Bremen
20.5%
Draw
65.0%
Dortmund
Expected Goals (xG)
0.96
Werder Bremen
vs
2.20
Dortmund
Markets
BTTS55.5%
Over 0.595.1%
Over 1.583.0%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.538.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
10.3%
1-2
9.9%
1-1
9.6%
0-1
8.7%
0-3
7.6%
1-3
7.2%
0-0
4.9%
2-2
4.7%
2-1
4.3%
0-4
4.2%
1-4
4.0%
2-3
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).