Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →50.8%
Northampton
26.2%
Draw
23.0%
Port Vale
Expected Goals (xG)
1.33
Northampton
vs
0.78
Port Vale
Markets
BTTS38.8%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.561.3%
Over 2.535.4%
Over 3.516.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.2%
1-1
11.5%
0-0
11.0%
2-0
10.7%
0-1
10.5%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
4.9%
3-0
4.8%
3-1
3.7%
0-2
3.7%
2-2
3.3%
4-0
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).