Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.5%
Empoli
28.5%
Draw
35.1%
Reggina
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Empoli
vs
1.32
Reggina
Markets
BTTS55.4%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.575.7%
Over 2.549.7%
Over 3.527.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.6%
2-1
8.3%
0-0
8.2%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
8.1%
0-1
8.0%
2-0
6.3%
0-2
6.0%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
3.7%
1-3
3.6%
3-0
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).