Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →28.9%
Andorra
32.2%
Draw
38.9%
Alaves
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Andorra
vs
1.00
Alaves
Markets
BTTS35.2%
Over 0.583.9%
Over 1.554.1%
Over 2.527.4%
Over 3.511.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.4%
0-0
16.1%
1-0
13.4%
1-1
13.1%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-1
5.4%
2-0
5.4%
2-2
2.7%
0-3
2.7%
1-3
2.2%
3-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).