Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.2%
Sudtirol
28.1%
Draw
16.7%
Avellino
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Sudtirol
vs
0.73
Avellino
Markets
BTTS41.9%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.567.2%
Over 2.539.4%
Over 3.519.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
1-1
12.8%
2-0
12.2%
0-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
6.5%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
4.6%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.3%
0-2
2.8%
4-0
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).