Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.8%
Troyes
23.4%
Draw
16.9%
Nancy
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Troyes
vs
0.68
Nancy
Markets
BTTS38.0%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.564.7%
Over 2.538.9%
Over 3.519.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.5%
2-0
13.0%
1-1
10.3%
0-0
9.7%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
8.1%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
4.6%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.0%
4-0
2.7%
0-2
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).