Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.1%
Nice
23.0%
Draw
44.9%
Lyon
Expected Goals (xG)
1.40
Nice
vs
1.70
Lyon
Markets
BTTS61.4%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.560.0%
Over 3.537.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.4%
1-2
9.1%
0-1
7.9%
2-1
7.5%
1-0
6.6%
0-2
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
1-3
5.2%
2-0
4.4%
0-0
4.2%
0-3
3.7%
2-3
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).