Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.0%
Heidenheim
26.0%
Draw
29.9%
Darmstadt
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Heidenheim
vs
1.35
Darmstadt
Markets
BTTS61.1%
Over 0.594.0%
Over 1.581.4%
Over 2.558.0%
Over 3.535.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
1-2
7.4%
1-0
7.1%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
0-1
5.5%
3-1
5.1%
0-2
4.4%
3-0
3.8%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).