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AHT: 11CSV

07 Feb 2025 · 17:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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21.2%
Preußen Münster
24.8%
Draw
54.1%
Hamburg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.09

Preußen Münster

vs
1.85

Hamburg

Markets

BTTS57.0%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.580.2%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.533.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.7%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.0%
0-1
8.7%
0-0
6.3%
1-3
6.1%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
5.6%
2-2
5.4%
1-0
4.7%
2-3
3.3%
2-0
3.1%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).