Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →79.3%
Fenerbahce
15.1%
Draw
5.6%
Kayserispor
Expected Goals (xG)
2.92
Fenerbahce
vs
0.78
Kayserispor
Markets
BTTS52.5%
Over 0.596.1%
Over 1.589.7%
Over 2.571.3%
Over 3.550.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.6%
3-0
10.3%
2-1
8.2%
3-1
8.0%
4-0
7.5%
1-1
7.1%
1-0
5.8%
4-1
5.8%
5-0
4.4%
0-0
3.9%
5-1
3.4%
2-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).