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HHT: 00CSV

08 Feb 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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41.5%
Panionios
32.3%
Draw
26.2%
Panetolikos

Expected Goals (xG)

1.18

Panionios

vs
0.88

Panetolikos

Markets

BTTS41.9%
Over 0.586.1%
Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.534.1%
Over 3.515.5%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.5%
0-0
13.9%
1-0
13.8%
0-1
10.0%
2-0
8.8%
2-1
7.8%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
5.0%
3-0
3.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-1
3.1%
1-3
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).