Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →85.1%
Leeds
11.5%
Draw
3.4%
Barnsley
Expected Goals (xG)
2.78
Leeds
vs
0.45
Barnsley
Markets
BTTS34.3%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.562.5%
Over 3.540.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
15.3%
3-0
14.2%
1-0
10.6%
4-0
9.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-1
6.4%
5-0
5.5%
1-1
5.4%
4-1
4.4%
0-0
4.4%
5-1
2.5%
2-2
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).