Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →39.4%
La Coruna
23.5%
Draw
37.2%
Almeria
Expected Goals (xG)
1.60
La Coruna
vs
1.54
Almeria
Markets
BTTS62.6%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.560.7%
Over 3.538.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
2-1
8.5%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
7.0%
0-1
6.8%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
5.5%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.5%
1-3
4.2%
0-0
4.2%
3-2
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).