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HHT: 10CSV

13 Feb 2024 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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63.5%
Alloa
21.2%
Draw
15.3%
Annan Athletic

Expected Goals (xG)

2.11

Alloa

vs
0.95

Annan Athletic

Markets

BTTS54.4%
Over 0.594.7%
Over 1.581.6%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.536.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.5%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.9%
1-0
9.3%
3-0
7.4%
3-1
7.0%
0-0
5.3%
2-2
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
4-0
3.9%
0-1
3.8%
4-1
3.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).