Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →61.2%
Exeter
23.1%
Draw
15.7%
Barrow
Expected Goals (xG)
1.67
Exeter
vs
0.70
Barrow
Markets
BTTS40.3%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.568.0%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.521.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
16.1%
2-0
13.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.1%
0-0
9.0%
3-0
7.3%
0-1
7.0%
3-1
5.1%
1-2
3.8%
2-2
3.2%
4-0
3.0%
0-2
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).