Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.1%
Bristol Rvs
25.1%
Draw
45.8%
Mansfield
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Bristol Rvs
vs
1.36
Mansfield
Markets
BTTS46.4%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.567.6%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.521.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.7%
1-1
11.8%
1-0
10.5%
1-2
8.7%
0-2
8.6%
0-0
8.2%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
4.8%
2-2
4.4%
1-3
4.0%
0-3
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).