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26 Sept 2023 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.1%
Bromley
22.8%
Draw
15.2%
Eastleigh

Expected Goals (xG)

1.97

Bromley

vs
0.88

Eastleigh

Markets

BTTS51.1%
Over 0.593.4%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.554.2%
Over 3.531.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
11.2%
1-1
10.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
7.4%
0-0
6.6%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
4.3%
0-1
4.2%
4-0
3.6%
4-1
3.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).