Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →38.4%
Mirandes
27.5%
Draw
34.2%
Extremadura UD
Expected Goals (xG)
1.24
Mirandes
vs
1.15
Extremadura UD
Markets
BTTS48.4%
Over 0.590.9%
Over 1.568.7%
Over 2.542.7%
Over 3.521.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-0
11.5%
0-1
10.7%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-1
3.3%
3-0
2.9%
1-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).