Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.5%
Brescia
31.3%
Draw
49.2%
Cagliari
Expected Goals (xG)
0.72
Brescia
vs
1.30
Cagliari
Markets
BTTS38.7%
Over 0.585.6%
Over 1.561.3%
Over 2.533.0%
Over 3.514.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
16.0%
0-0
14.4%
1-1
13.7%
0-2
11.2%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
8.1%
0-3
4.9%
2-1
4.5%
1-3
3.5%
2-0
3.4%
2-2
2.9%
0-4
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).