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23 Apr 2023 · 18:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.5%
Hatayspor
29.6%
Draw
34.9%
Ankaragucu

Expected Goals (xG)

1.54

Hatayspor

vs
1.52

Ankaragucu

Markets

BTTS64.2%
Over 0.592.6%
Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.559.0%
Over 3.536.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.7%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.4%
0-0
7.4%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
5.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-0
4.4%
0-1
4.4%
3-1
4.3%
1-3
4.2%
3-2
3.3%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).