Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.6%
Sp Gijon
18.1%
Draw
13.3%
Cartagena
Expected Goals (xG)
2.27
Sp Gijon
vs
0.89
Cartagena
Markets
BTTS52.7%
Over 0.595.8%
Over 1.582.2%
Over 2.561.1%
Over 3.538.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
1-0
9.7%
1-1
8.5%
3-0
8.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-0
4.7%
2-2
4.3%
4-1
4.2%
0-0
4.2%
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).