Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.2%
Burton
22.9%
Draw
40.8%
Peterboro
Expected Goals (xG)
1.38
Burton
vs
1.49
Peterboro
Markets
BTTS57.0%
Over 0.595.3%
Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
0-1
9.4%
1-0
8.8%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.1%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
6.0%
2-0
5.4%
0-0
4.7%
1-3
4.3%
3-1
3.7%
0-3
3.1%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).