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26 Apr 2026 · 00:00

Sochi

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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90.6%
Dinamo Moskva
6.5%
Draw
2.9%
Sochi

Expected Goals (xG)

4.25

Dinamo Moskva

vs
0.87

Sochi

Markets

BTTS57.7%
Over 0.599.1%
Over 1.596.6%
Over 2.588.5%
Over 3.575.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

4-0
8.1%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
7.1%
5-0
6.9%
3-1
6.7%
5-1
6.0%
2-0
5.4%
2-1
4.7%
4-2
3.1%
3-2
2.9%
5-2
2.6%
1-1
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).