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25 Nov 2019 · 19:45

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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45.6%
Le Havre
29.3%
Draw
25.1%
Guingamp

Expected Goals (xG)

1.12

Le Havre

vs
0.74

Guingamp

Markets

BTTS34.1%
Over 0.585.5%
Over 1.554.4%
Over 2.528.5%
Over 3.511.8%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
18.5%
0-0
14.5%
0-1
12.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-0
9.8%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
4.8%
0-2
4.2%
3-0
3.7%
3-1
2.7%
2-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).