Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.4%
Valladolid
24.2%
Draw
56.3%
Leganes
Expected Goals (xG)
0.93
Valladolid
vs
1.75
Leganes
Markets
BTTS50.4%
Over 0.592.8%
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.550.2%
Over 3.528.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.6%
1-1
11.5%
0-2
10.5%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
7.2%
0-3
6.1%
1-0
6.0%
1-3
5.7%
2-1
5.2%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
3.0%
0-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).