Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →72.4%
Mechelen
18.5%
Draw
9.2%
Seraing
Expected Goals (xG)
2.21
Mechelen
vs
0.66
Seraing
Markets
BTTS43.6%
Over 0.593.9%
Over 1.578.6%
Over 2.554.8%
Over 3.532.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
13.8%
1-0
12.0%
3-0
10.2%
2-1
9.1%
1-1
8.8%
3-1
6.7%
0-0
6.1%
4-0
5.6%
4-1
3.7%
0-1
3.3%
2-2
3.0%
1-2
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).