Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.8%
Birmingham
27.0%
Draw
32.2%
Hull
Expected Goals (xG)
1.49
Birmingham
vs
1.30
Hull
Markets
BTTS57.1%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.530.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
0-1
7.1%
0-0
7.0%
2-0
6.8%
2-2
5.7%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).