⚽ FootballData
2 – 3
AHT: 11

24 Aug 2025 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
19.4%
Haugesund
19.4%
Draw
61.2%
Vålerenga

Expected Goals (xG)

1.20

Haugesund

vs
2.25

Vålerenga

Markets

BTTS62.4%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.585.8%
Over 2.567.0%
Over 3.545.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-2
9.6%
1-1
8.5%
0-2
8.0%
1-3
7.2%
0-1
7.2%
0-3
6.0%
2-2
5.8%
2-1
5.1%
2-3
4.3%
1-4
4.1%
1-0
3.9%
0-4
3.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).