⚽ FootballData
2 – 0
HHT: 10CSV

26 May 2023 · 19:45

Niort

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
66.3%
Guingamp
17.8%
Draw
15.8%
Niort

Expected Goals (xG)

2.19

Guingamp

vs
0.95

Niort

Markets

BTTS53.6%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.560.6%
Over 3.538.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
10.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
1-1
8.3%
3-0
7.6%
3-1
7.2%
0-1
4.9%
2-2
4.7%
1-2
4.3%
4-0
4.2%
4-1
3.9%
0-0
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).