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01 Mar 2025 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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26.8%
Ad. Demirspor
36.5%
Draw
36.7%
Bodrum FK

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95

Ad. Demirspor

vs
1.15

Bodrum FK

Markets

BTTS45.3%
Over 0.584.4%
Over 1.565.4%
Over 2.535.1%
Over 3.516.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
16.8%
0-0
15.6%
0-1
10.7%
1-0
8.3%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-1
6.4%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
3.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-3
2.9%
3-1
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).