Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.5%
Stevenage
28.4%
Draw
27.1%
Grimsby
Expected Goals (xG)
1.21
Stevenage
vs
0.87
Grimsby
Markets
BTTS40.3%
Over 0.588.1%
Over 1.561.1%
Over 2.534.6%
Over 3.515.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
15.7%
1-1
12.6%
0-0
11.9%
0-1
11.4%
2-0
9.1%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
5.7%
0-2
4.7%
3-0
3.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).