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29 Nov 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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79.0%
Venezia
14.5%
Draw
6.5%
Mantova

Expected Goals (xG)

2.70

Venezia

vs
0.70

Mantova

Markets

BTTS47.4%
Over 0.596.0%
Over 1.585.9%
Over 2.566.0%
Over 3.544.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

2-0
12.2%
3-0
11.0%
2-1
8.5%
1-0
8.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-0
7.4%
1-1
6.9%
4-1
5.2%
5-0
4.0%
0-0
4.0%
2-2
3.0%
5-1
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).