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02 Oct 2022 · 16:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.4%
Schalke 04
29.5%
Draw
41.1%
Augsburg

Expected Goals (xG)

1.06

Schalke 04

vs
1.30

Augsburg

Markets

BTTS48.2%
Over 0.589.6%
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.521.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
0-1
11.5%
0-0
10.4%
1-0
9.2%
1-2
8.4%
0-2
8.0%
2-1
6.9%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
4.5%
1-3
3.6%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.4%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).