Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →16.7%
Ipswich
22.9%
Draw
60.4%
Fulham
Expected Goals (xG)
1.06
Ipswich
vs
2.12
Fulham
Markets
BTTS58.7%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.583.8%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.539.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.4%
0-1
7.6%
1-3
7.0%
0-3
6.6%
0-0
5.5%
2-2
5.2%
2-1
4.9%
1-4
3.7%
2-3
3.7%
0-4
3.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).