Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.6%
Cardiff
27.8%
Draw
49.5%
Millwall
Expected Goals (xG)
0.94
Cardiff
vs
1.50
Millwall
Markets
BTTS48.2%
Over 0.590.4%
Over 1.570.9%
Over 2.544.1%
Over 3.523.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
0-1
12.2%
0-2
9.8%
0-0
9.6%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).