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26 Sept 2023 · 17:15

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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18.7%
Cosenza
25.5%
Draw
55.9%
Cremonese

Expected Goals (xG)

0.94

Cosenza

vs
1.77

Cremonese

Markets

BTTS51.6%
Over 0.592.2%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
12.2%
0-1
10.7%
0-2
10.4%
1-2
9.8%
0-0
7.8%
0-3
6.2%
1-3
5.8%
2-1
5.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-2
4.6%
2-0
2.9%
0-4
2.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).