Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →41.4%
Nacional
28.7%
Draw
29.9%
Vitória Guimarães
Expected Goals (xG)
1.37
Nacional
vs
1.13
Vitória Guimarães
Markets
BTTS51.5%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.524.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
10.3%
0-0
9.2%
2-1
8.7%
0-1
8.3%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-1
4.0%
3-0
3.5%
1-3
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).