Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.8%
Cartagena
29.2%
Draw
22.0%
Ferrol
Expected Goals (xG)
1.26
Cartagena
vs
0.74
Ferrol
Markets
BTTS37.3%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.559.2%
Over 2.532.3%
Over 3.514.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.2%
0-0
13.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-0
10.7%
0-1
10.2%
2-1
7.9%
1-2
4.7%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
3.7%
3-1
3.3%
2-2
2.9%
4-0
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).