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DHT: 00CSV

05 May 2017

Niort

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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62.3%
Le Havre
25.1%
Draw
12.6%
Niort

Expected Goals (xG)

1.43

Le Havre

vs
0.46

Niort

Markets

BTTS27.3%
Over 0.585.8%
Over 1.555.7%
Over 2.529.5%
Over 3.512.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
22.4%
2-0
15.5%
0-0
14.2%
1-1
9.1%
0-1
7.7%
3-0
7.4%
2-1
7.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-0
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-2
1.6%
0-2
1.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).