Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →30.4%
Hoffenheim
23.1%
Draw
46.5%
Dortmund
Expected Goals (xG)
1.57
Hoffenheim
vs
1.97
Dortmund
Markets
BTTS68.8%
Over 0.596.4%
Over 1.587.5%
Over 2.568.6%
Over 3.547.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
9.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-1
7.1%
2-2
6.9%
1-3
5.8%
0-2
5.6%
0-1
5.1%
2-3
4.5%
1-0
3.9%
0-3
3.7%
3-1
3.7%
3-2
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).