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14 Feb 2026 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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33.2%
Ross County
31.1%
Draw
35.7%
Queens Park

Expected Goals (xG)

1.22

Ross County

vs
1.28

Queens Park

Markets

BTTS52.9%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.573.3%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.524.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
14.9%
0-0
10.2%
0-1
8.4%
1-2
8.2%
1-0
8.0%
2-1
7.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
5.0%
1-3
3.5%
3-1
3.2%
0-3
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).