Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →66.2%
Milan
22.8%
Draw
11.0%
Parma
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Milan
vs
0.51
Parma
Markets
BTTS32.3%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.564.0%
Over 2.537.4%
Over 3.517.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
19.0%
2-0
15.8%
0-0
11.1%
1-1
9.4%
3-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
4.5%
4-0
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-2
2.1%
4-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).