Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →31.0%
Cesena
27.2%
Draw
41.8%
Catanzaro
Expected Goals (xG)
1.30
Cesena
vs
1.54
Catanzaro
Markets
BTTS58.4%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.578.8%
Over 2.554.1%
Over 3.531.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.8%
1-2
9.0%
0-1
7.8%
2-1
7.6%
0-0
7.0%
0-2
6.9%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
5.9%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
0-3
3.6%
3-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).