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AHT: 11CSV

15 Feb 2023 · 20:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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36.2%
Sheffield United
28.5%
Draw
35.2%
Middlesbrough

Expected Goals (xG)

1.29

Sheffield United

vs
1.26

Middlesbrough

Markets

BTTS52.9%
Over 0.591.3%
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.525.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.6%
1-0
9.1%
0-1
8.9%
0-0
8.7%
2-1
8.2%
1-2
8.0%
2-0
6.4%
0-2
6.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
1-3
3.4%
3-0
2.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).