Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →60.5%
Sirius
19.7%
Draw
19.8%
Norrköping
Expected Goals (xG)
2.53
Sirius
vs
1.44
Norrköping
Markets
BTTS70.9%
Over 0.597.4%
Over 1.591.3%
Over 2.575.6%
Over 3.555.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.7%
1-1
7.6%
3-1
7.3%
2-2
6.3%
2-0
6.1%
3-2
5.3%
3-0
5.1%
1-2
5.0%
4-1
4.6%
1-0
4.1%
4-2
3.3%
4-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).