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AHT: 02CSV

01 Jan 2026 · 12:30

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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29.6%
Blackburn
29.3%
Draw
41.1%
Wrexham

Expected Goals (xG)

1.10

Blackburn

vs
1.34

Wrexham

Markets

BTTS50.5%
Over 0.590.3%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.544.2%
Over 3.523.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.9%
0-1
10.5%
0-0
9.7%
1-2
8.6%
1-0
8.5%
0-2
7.8%
2-1
7.1%
2-0
5.3%
2-2
4.8%
1-3
3.9%
0-3
3.5%
3-1
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).