Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.4%
Oxford
33.5%
Draw
29.0%
Portsmouth
Expected Goals (xG)
1.03
Oxford
vs
0.88
Portsmouth
Markets
BTTS38.6%
Over 0.584.2%
Over 1.557.9%
Over 2.529.9%
Over 3.512.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.8%
1-1
14.4%
1-0
14.3%
0-1
12.0%
2-0
7.9%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
5.7%
2-2
3.0%
3-0
2.7%
3-1
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).