Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →55.0%
Falkirk
27.0%
Draw
18.0%
Aberdeen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.53
Falkirk
vs
0.76
Aberdeen
Markets
BTTS42.4%
Over 0.589.3%
Over 1.567.3%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.519.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-0
11.8%
0-0
10.7%
2-1
9.0%
0-1
7.1%
3-0
6.0%
3-1
4.6%
1-2
4.5%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).