Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →49.6%
Toulouse
23.4%
Draw
27.0%
Brest
Expected Goals (xG)
1.62
Toulouse
vs
1.12
Brest
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.594.2%
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.551.5%
Over 3.529.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
11.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.5%
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.6%
0-0
5.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-1
5.1%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.1%
3-2
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).